Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.348262 3.923985 4.587749 5.413949 6.420762 7.615413 9.151516
2025-01-12 2.530966 3.263469 4.210015 5.541581 7.396869 9.936361 13.756863
2025-01-19 2.043089 2.795186 3.839416 5.429870 7.853991 11.517653 17.691185
2025-01-26 1.843970 2.653033 3.847872 5.799316 9.023936 14.364891 24.394553
2025-02-02 1.665014 2.497186 3.791019 6.033271 10.007470 17.148289 31.957468
2025-02-09 1.532579 2.384696 3.771819 6.308786 11.106685 20.417750 41.687155
2025-02-16 1.393464 2.236798 3.664466 6.400203 11.878020 23.270112 51.721026
2025-02-23 1.283083 2.119120 3.586438 6.523215 12.730623 26.532276 64.186769
2025-03-02 1.164372 1.969821 3.427415 6.455831 13.165906 28.995571 75.793016
2025-03-09 1.085566 1.881201 3.366120 6.570942 14.025668 32.739219 93.045276
2025-03-16 0.996978 1.763165 3.231087 6.504425 14.447322 35.511472 108.900963
2025-03-23 0.923659 1.665327 3.122240 6.474845 14.952077 38.687259 128.172030
2025-03-30 0.835316 1.539004 2.960817 6.351949 15.343346 42.170713 153.364107
2025-04-06 0.777440 1.468499 2.911096 6.499122 16.564138 48.997777 200.298899
2025-04-13 0.706063 1.360099 2.761147 6.364814 16.947153 53.291975 240.854178
2025-04-20 0.683775 1.351398 2.831007 6.810619 19.242063 65.859381 343.733321
2025-04-27 0.652306 1.318281 2.838791 7.093443 21.144291 78.276118 469.267142
2025-05-04 0.626248 1.293483 2.862020 7.426985 23.372733 93.855958 653.351278
2025-05-11 0.590830 1.242675 2.812996 7.537766 24.856526 107.228367 855.903352
2025-05-18 0.560607 1.200219 2.778578 7.686921 26.571783 123.405465 1140.255421
2025-05-25 0.523206 1.136210 2.678517 7.605205 27.331649 135.062492 1417.830299
2025-06-01 0.498356 1.099894 2.647196 7.744818 29.125301 154.955582 1904.221552
2025-06-08 0.467363 1.044881 2.556938 7.664132 29.912054 169.251306 2384.030873